Recent affirmations of the EU's AAA-equivalent ratings with stable outlooks from Fitch in January 2026, Moody's, and Scope in March 2026 underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability of no downgrade before 2027. S&P continues to hold its AA+ rating with a stable outlook and no major agency has placed the bloc on negative watch. These assessments reflect the EU's diversified funding through NextGenerationEU programs, average debt maturity exceeding 11 years that limits near-term refinancing pressures, and backing from high-rated member states despite outstanding EU debt approaching €1 trillion by year-end. Trader consensus prices in limited short-term fiscal or geopolitical risks capable of shifting ratings ahead of 2027 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDéclassement de la dette de l'UE avant 2027 ?
Déclassement de la dette de l'UE avant 2027 ?
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the EU's AAA-equivalent ratings with stable outlooks from Fitch in January 2026, Moody's, and Scope in March 2026 underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability of no downgrade before 2027. S&P continues to hold its AA+ rating with a stable outlook and no major agency has placed the bloc on negative watch. These assessments reflect the EU's diversified funding through NextGenerationEU programs, average debt maturity exceeding 11 years that limits near-term refinancing pressures, and backing from high-rated member states despite outstanding EU debt approaching €1 trillion by year-end. Trader consensus prices in limited short-term fiscal or geopolitical risks capable of shifting ratings ahead of 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,426Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the EU's AAA-equivalent ratings with stable outlooks from Fitch in January 2026, Moody's, and Scope in March 2026 underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability of no downgrade before 2027. S&P continues to hold its AA+ rating with a stable outlook and no major agency has placed the bloc on negative watch. These assessments reflect the EU's diversified funding through NextGenerationEU programs, average debt maturity exceeding 11 years that limits near-term refinancing pressures, and backing from high-rated member states despite outstanding EU debt approaching €1 trillion by year-end. Trader consensus prices in limited short-term fiscal or geopolitical risks capable of shifting ratings ahead of 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,426Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations of the EU's AAA-equivalent ratings with stable outlooks from Fitch in January 2026, Moody's, and Scope in March 2026 underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability of no downgrade before 2027. S&P continues to hold its AA+ rating with a stable outlook and no major agency has placed the bloc on negative watch. These assessments reflect the EU's diversified funding through NextGenerationEU programs, average debt maturity exceeding 11 years that limits near-term refinancing pressures, and backing from high-rated member states despite outstanding EU debt approaching €1 trillion by year-end. Trader consensus prices in limited short-term fiscal or geopolitical risks capable of shifting ratings ahead of 2027 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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