Traders assign a 99.6% probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting Russia's consistent position that direct leader-level talks require prior expert-level agreements on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Recent developments reinforce this stance: Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing a third-country summit was explicitly rebuffed by Putin as pointless without preconditions, while U.S.-facilitated trilateral discussions have remained stalled amid disagreements over Iran-related matters and Russia's rejection of any freeze in hostilities. With only days remaining before the deadline and no bilateral summit scheduled, the near-certain trader consensus aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an abrupt U.S.-brokered announcement or a sudden escalation prompting emergency talks, though both appear improbable given the entrenched procedural barriers and short timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPoutine rencontrera-t-il Zelenskyy d'ici le 31 août 2026 ?
Oui
$74,429 Vol.
$74,429 Vol.
Oui
$74,429 Vol.
$74,429 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.6% probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting Russia's consistent position that direct leader-level talks require prior expert-level agreements on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Recent developments reinforce this stance: Zelenskyy's June 2026 open letter proposing a third-country summit was explicitly rebuffed by Putin as pointless without preconditions, while U.S.-facilitated trilateral discussions have remained stalled amid disagreements over Iran-related matters and Russia's rejection of any freeze in hostilities. With only days remaining before the deadline and no bilateral summit scheduled, the near-certain trader consensus aligns with the absence of verifiable diplomatic momentum. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an abrupt U.S.-brokered announcement or a sudden escalation prompting emergency talks, though both appear improbable given the entrenched procedural barriers and short timeframe.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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