Recent phone contacts between the leaders, including a July 2026 call that yielded no confirmed in-person follow-up, have sustained trader expectations of stalled bilateral diplomacy amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran. The absence of any announced summit through mid-August, combined with the 2025 Alaska meeting's failure to produce lasting progress, positions the "no meeting by December 31" outcome as the clear leader. China draws the strongest location probability as a potential multilateral or neutral venue during planned U.S. travel to Asia later in the year, while U.S. hosting remains limited by calendar and precedent constraints. Other sites register minimal shares absent concrete signals of travel or third-party facilitation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Trump et Poutine se rencontreront-ils en 2026 ?
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 61%
China 34%
United States 3.5%
Other <1%
$501,485 Vol.
$501,485 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
61%

China
34%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre 61%
China 34%
United States 3.5%
Other <1%
$501,485 Vol.
$501,485 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 31 décembre
61%

China
34%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent phone contacts between the leaders, including a July 2026 call that yielded no confirmed in-person follow-up, have sustained trader expectations of stalled bilateral diplomacy amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and competing U.S. priorities such as Iran. The absence of any announced summit through mid-August, combined with the 2025 Alaska meeting's failure to produce lasting progress, positions the "no meeting by December 31" outcome as the clear leader. China draws the strongest location probability as a potential multilateral or neutral venue during planned U.S. travel to Asia later in the year, while U.S. hosting remains limited by calendar and precedent constraints. Other sites register minimal shares absent concrete signals of travel or third-party facilitation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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