Recent inflation data showing acceleration to 6.32% year-over-year by late August, alongside sustained lending growth and more expansionary fiscal policy, have reinforced the Bank of Russia's cautious approach to easing. The central bank revised its 2026 key rate path upward in July after cutting to 14% and has flagged risks from budget deficits and credit dynamics that limit further reductions. Analyst surveys ahead of the September 11 meeting heavily favor holding steady at the current level, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the highest probability to no change while leaving modest room for a small cut if incoming figures improve. An increase remains improbable absent major upside inflation surprises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Russie en septembre ?
Aucun changement 64%
Diminution 32%
Augmentation 4.3%
$185,682 Vol.
$185,682 Vol.
Diminution
32%
Aucun changement
64%
Augmentation
4%
Aucun changement 64%
Diminution 32%
Augmentation 4.3%
$185,682 Vol.
$185,682 Vol.
Diminution
32%
Aucun changement
64%
Augmentation
4%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing acceleration to 6.32% year-over-year by late August, alongside sustained lending growth and more expansionary fiscal policy, have reinforced the Bank of Russia's cautious approach to easing. The central bank revised its 2026 key rate path upward in July after cutting to 14% and has flagged risks from budget deficits and credit dynamics that limit further reductions. Analyst surveys ahead of the September 11 meeting heavily favor holding steady at the current level, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the highest probability to no change while leaving modest room for a small cut if incoming figures improve. An increase remains improbable absent major upside inflation surprises.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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