**Observed rainfall patterns on August 29, 2026, were shaped by the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) over Southeast Asia and scattered convective activity elsewhere.** Metro Manila recorded 186 mm of rain in 23 hours through 8 a.m. on August 30 according to PAGASA and MMDA data, with earlier nine-hour totals reaching 143.5 mm. In the U.S., National Weather Service reports showed mostly dry conditions in many Midwest and Northeast locations (e.g., zero precipitation in parts of Ohio), while isolated thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain along corridors like I-85. Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate issued severe rainfall warnings for the Black Sea and Marmara regions, and Egypt’s EMA noted low-probability light rain along northern coasts. These verified measurements from official monitoring networks explain current market resolution signals, with traders focusing on precise geographic thresholds and timing windows. No major new data releases are imminent as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 29?
$7,311 Vol.
New York, NY
8%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
-
Houston, TX
8%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
-
Philadelphia, PA
6%
Denver, CO
10%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
6%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
7%
San Francisco, CA
6%
$7,311 Vol.
New York, NY
8%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
-
Houston, TX
8%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
-
Philadelphia, PA
6%
Denver, CO
10%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
6%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
99%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
7%
San Francisco, CA
6%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Observed rainfall patterns on August 29, 2026, were shaped by the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) over Southeast Asia and scattered convective activity elsewhere.** Metro Manila recorded 186 mm of rain in 23 hours through 8 a.m. on August 30 according to PAGASA and MMDA data, with earlier nine-hour totals reaching 143.5 mm. In the U.S., National Weather Service reports showed mostly dry conditions in many Midwest and Northeast locations (e.g., zero precipitation in parts of Ohio), while isolated thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain along corridors like I-85. Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate issued severe rainfall warnings for the Black Sea and Marmara regions, and Egypt’s EMA noted low-probability light rain along northern coasts. These verified measurements from official monitoring networks explain current market resolution signals, with traders focusing on precise geographic thresholds and timing windows. No major new data releases are imminent as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions