Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of early June 2026, with multiple trackers reporting figures near 37–40 percent. The decline accelerated after U.S. military action against Iran in May, which voters broadly viewed as a misstep and which contributed to record-low net approval in several surveys. Persistent concerns over inflation, the economy, and cost-of-living pressures have further weighed on ratings, while disapproval has reached historic highs for the term in outlets such as Economist/YouGov. With the June 5 measurement falling amid these trends and ahead of the midterms, trader consensus centers on the narrow 39.0–39.4 band as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated39.0–39.4 87.6%
38.5–38.9 3%
39.5+ 1.1%
38.0–38.4 1.1%
$10,223 Vol.
$10,223 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
1%
38.0–38.4
1%
38.5–38.9
13%
39.0–39.4
88%
39.5+
1%
39.0–39.4 87.6%
38.5–38.9 3%
39.5+ 1.1%
38.0–38.4 1.1%
$10,223 Vol.
$10,223 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
<37.5
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
37.5–37.9
$1,608 Vol.
1%
38.0–38.4
$2,033 Vol.
1%
38.5–38.9
$2,141 Vol.
13%
39.0–39.4
$2,162 Vol.
88%
39.5+
$1,133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of early June 2026, with multiple trackers reporting figures near 37–40 percent. The decline accelerated after U.S. military action against Iran in May, which voters broadly viewed as a misstep and which contributed to record-low net approval in several surveys. Persistent concerns over inflation, the economy, and cost-of-living pressures have further weighed on ratings, while disapproval has reached historic highs for the term in outlets such as Economist/YouGov. With the June 5 measurement falling amid these trends and ahead of the midterms, trader consensus centers on the narrow 39.0–39.4 band as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$10,223End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of early June 2026, with multiple trackers reporting figures near 37–40 percent. The decline accelerated after U.S. military action against Iran in May, which voters broadly viewed as a misstep and which contributed to record-low net approval in several surveys. Persistent concerns over inflation, the economy, and cost-of-living pressures have further weighed on ratings, while disapproval has reached historic highs for the term in outlets such as Economist/YouGov. With the June 5 measurement falling amid these trends and ahead of the midterms, trader consensus centers on the narrow 39.0–39.4 band as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10,223End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of early June 2026, with multiple trackers reporting figures near 37–40 percent. The decline accelerated after U.S. military action against Iran in May, which voters broadly viewed as a misstep and which contributed to record-low net approval in several surveys. Persistent concerns over inflation, the economy, and cost-of-living pressures have further weighed on ratings, while disapproval has reached historic highs for the term in outlets such as Economist/YouGov. With the June 5 measurement falling amid these trends and ahead of the midterms, trader consensus centers on the narrow 39.0–39.4 band as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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