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icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

$10,120 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$10,120 交易量

Polymarket

4800+

$3,074 交易量

12%

4900+

$4,620 交易量

7%

5000+

$2,426 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Federal immigration enforcement under the current administration has driven a sustained increase in ICE arrests of noncitizens across New York state and New York City since early 2025. Official operations have prioritized individuals with criminal convictions, including gang members and those convicted of violent offenses, while collateral arrests of non-targeted individuals have also contributed to totals. Data through early 2026 showed arrests in upstate New York exceeding 3,700 in the prior year, with continued activity into spring including targeted enforcement in the NYC area. The pace reflects expanded interior operations, detainer requests, and coordination with local partners, though New York’s sanctuary policies have created procedural friction in some jurisdictions. With roughly three weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution date, ongoing raids and court-related detentions represent the primary variables that could influence whether cumulative arrest figures reach specific thresholds tracked by the official counter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
交易量
$10,120
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.Federal immigration enforcement under the current administration has driven a sustained increase in ICE arrests of noncitizens across New York state and New York City since early 2025. Official operations have prioritized individuals with criminal convictions, including gang members and those convicted of violent offenses, while collateral arrests of non-targeted individuals have also contributed to totals. Data through early 2026 showed arrests in upstate New York exceeding 3,700 in the prior year, with continued activity into spring including targeted enforcement in the NYC area. The pace reflects expanded interior operations, detainer requests, and coordination with local partners, though New York’s sanctuary policies have created procedural friction in some jurisdictions. With roughly three weeks remaining until the June 30 resolution date, ongoing raids and court-related detentions represent the primary variables that could influence whether cumulative arrest figures reach specific thresholds tracked by the official counter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
交易量
$10,120
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4800+",概率为 12%,其次是"4900+",概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?"已产生 $10.1K 的总交易量(自May 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?"的当前领先者是"4800+",概率为 12%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。紧随其后的结果是"4900+",概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。