Trump’s second-term pattern of elevated Truth Social activity, averaging 18–27 posts per day in recent months with frequent late-night and rapid-fire sessions, underpins the market’s concentration on the 180–200+ brackets. Record May volume of 861 posts, including bursts exceeding 40 updates in under an hour during political exchanges and policy commentary, has reinforced trader expectations of sustained high output through the current window. Ongoing direct communication on administration priorities and reactions to daily developments continue to drive the tight contest between the two leading ranges, while quieter stretches without major announcements or external triggers could shift probabilities downward within the upper bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 40%
180-199 22%
160-179 16%
140-159 14%
$36,845 Vol.
$36,845 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
4%
120-139
10%
140-159
14%
160-179
16%
180-199
27%
200+
40%
200+ 40%
180-199 22%
160-179 16%
140-159 14%
$36,845 Vol.
$36,845 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
4%
120-139
10%
140-159
14%
160-179
16%
180-199
27%
200+
40%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s second-term pattern of elevated Truth Social activity, averaging 18–27 posts per day in recent months with frequent late-night and rapid-fire sessions, underpins the market’s concentration on the 180–200+ brackets. Record May volume of 861 posts, including bursts exceeding 40 updates in under an hour during political exchanges and policy commentary, has reinforced trader expectations of sustained high output through the current window. Ongoing direct communication on administration priorities and reactions to daily developments continue to drive the tight contest between the two leading ranges, while quieter stretches without major announcements or external triggers could shift probabilities downward within the upper bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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