Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 2 will likely range from 24–26°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northerly or easterly winds. This reflects typical late-summer conditions where warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderate radiative cooling, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover allow modest overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across several values capture the narrow uncertainty in short-range ensembles, where 1–2°C variations depend on exact boundary-layer mixing, dew point depression, and any subtle changes in steering flow. Historical September minima average around 21–22°C, but current forecasts remain warmer amid the seasonal transition. Fresh model runs from major centers will further constrain the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
81%
20°C
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
98%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
16%
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
81%
20°C
$15 Vol.
100%
21°C
$15 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$0 Vol.
100%
25°C
$20 Vol.
-
26°C
$1 Vol.
100%
27°C
$19 Vol.
98%
28°C
$5 Vol.
15%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 2 will likely range from 24–26°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northerly or easterly winds. This reflects typical late-summer conditions where warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderate radiative cooling, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover allow modest overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across several values capture the narrow uncertainty in short-range ensembles, where 1–2°C variations depend on exact boundary-layer mixing, dew point depression, and any subtle changes in steering flow. Historical September minima average around 21–22°C, but current forecasts remain warmer amid the seasonal transition. Fresh model runs from major centers will further constrain the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$85End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 2 will likely range from 24–26°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northerly or easterly winds. This reflects typical late-summer conditions where warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderate radiative cooling, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover allow modest overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across several values capture the narrow uncertainty in short-range ensembles, where 1–2°C variations depend on exact boundary-layer mixing, dew point depression, and any subtle changes in steering flow. Historical September minima average around 21–22°C, but current forecasts remain warmer amid the seasonal transition. Fresh model runs from major centers will further constrain the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 2 will likely range from 24–26°C under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northerly or easterly winds. This reflects typical late-summer conditions where warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderate radiative cooling, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover allow modest overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across several values capture the narrow uncertainty in short-range ensembles, where 1–2°C variations depend on exact boundary-layer mixing, dew point depression, and any subtle changes in steering flow. Historical September minima average around 21–22°C, but current forecasts remain warmer amid the seasonal transition. Fresh model runs from major centers will further constrain the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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