Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and regional meteorological services points to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds of 8–12 mph. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, with 33°C trailing at 29%, consistent with minor ensemble spread around the 31–33°C envelope. Early September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and low humidity have nudged expectations slightly higher without triggering extreme heat signals. Updated model runs through August 30–31 show limited day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
32°C 63%
33°C 30%
34°C 2%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
63%
33°C
30%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
33°C 30%
34°C 2%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$582 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$516 Vol.
2%
32°C
$2,077 Vol.
63%
33°C
$2,906 Vol.
30%
34°C
$702 Vol.
2%
35°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and regional meteorological services points to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds of 8–12 mph. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, with 33°C trailing at 29%, consistent with minor ensemble spread around the 31–33°C envelope. Early September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and low humidity have nudged expectations slightly higher without triggering extreme heat signals. Updated model runs through August 30–31 show limited day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,521End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and regional meteorological services points to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds of 8–12 mph. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, with 33°C trailing at 29%, consistent with minor ensemble spread around the 31–33°C envelope. Early September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and low humidity have nudged expectations slightly higher without triggering extreme heat signals. Updated model runs through August 30–31 show limited day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,521End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and regional meteorological services points to a maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds of 8–12 mph. This positions 32°C as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, with 33°C trailing at 29%, consistent with minor ensemble spread around the 31–33°C envelope. Early September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and low humidity have nudged expectations slightly higher without triggering extreme heat signals. Updated model runs through August 30–31 show limited day-to-day variability ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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