Forecast models from agencies and global data sources, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds near 10 mph and humidity around 50–65%. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C (77% implied probability) over 31°C. Recent 30 August updates show stable consensus across sources with little model spread, while climatological norms for the date hover near 30–31°C highs. Traders appear to factor in minor afternoon variability from local sea breezes that could nudge readings either side of 32°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
32°C 76%
31°C 23%
33°C 1.4%
35°C <1%
NEW
$14,320 Vol.
NEW
$14,320 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
23%
32°C
76%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 76%
31°C 23%
33°C 1.4%
35°C <1%
NEW
$14,320 Vol.
NEW
$14,320 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$916 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,960 Vol.
23%
32°C
$6,293 Vol.
76%
33°C
$869 Vol.
1%
34°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,189 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and global data sources, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds near 10 mph and humidity around 50–65%. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C (77% implied probability) over 31°C. Recent 30 August updates show stable consensus across sources with little model spread, while climatological norms for the date hover near 30–31°C highs. Traders appear to factor in minor afternoon variability from local sea breezes that could nudge readings either side of 32°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,320End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and global data sources, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds near 10 mph and humidity around 50–65%. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C (77% implied probability) over 31°C. Recent 30 August updates show stable consensus across sources with little model spread, while climatological norms for the date hover near 30–31°C highs. Traders appear to factor in minor afternoon variability from local sea breezes that could nudge readings either side of 32°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,320End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and global data sources, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds near 10 mph and humidity around 50–65%. These conditions, typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C (77% implied probability) over 31°C. Recent 30 August updates show stable consensus across sources with little model spread, while climatological norms for the date hover near 30–31°C highs. Traders appear to factor in minor afternoon variability from local sea breezes that could nudge readings either side of 32°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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