**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
NEW
$25,550 Vol.
NEW
$25,550 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
47%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
NEW
$25,550 Vol.
NEW
$25,550 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,063 Vol.
3%
28°C
$3,165 Vol.
31%
29°C
$4,554 Vol.
47%
30°C
$3,069 Vol.
15%
31°C
$3,448 Vol.
5%
32°C
$3,922 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2,291 Vol.
1%
34°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$25,550End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,550End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, showers, and elevated humidity from a broad low-pressure trough combined with lingering tropical cyclone influences are suppressing peak temperatures across Hong Kong on September 1.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional observations indicate daytime maxima most likely between 28–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and a high probability of thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the early-September climatological average of ~31 °C. Early-morning station data near 27 °C and model consensus for limited afternoon warming reinforce trader emphasis on the 28–29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much brief sunshine may develop before widespread convection. The market-implied distribution therefore aligns closely with current atmospheric conditions and the latest authoritative guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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