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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

25°C 43%

26°C 41%

24°C 15%

22°C or below 9.0%

Polymarket
NEW

25°C 43%

26°C 41%

24°C 15%

22°C or below 9.0%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C or below

$796 Vol.

9%

23°C

$458 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$434 Vol.

15%

25°C

$1,483 Vol.

29%

26°C

$1,614 Vol.

58%

27°C

$2,300 Vol.

40%

28°C

$194 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$375 Vol.

1%

30°C

$317 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$114 Vol.

1%

32°C or higher

$194 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a nearby low-pressure system have limited overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple numerical models converge on nighttime lows of 25–27 °C under humid, overcast conditions with dew points remaining close to air temperatures, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes aligns with these model runs and recent surface observations showing minimal temperature drops despite light winds, while the modest probability on 25 °C accounts for possible localized cooling if brief clear intervals develop before dawn.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,278
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a nearby low-pressure system have limited overnight radiative cooling across Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple numerical models converge on nighttime lows of 25–27 °C under humid, overcast conditions with dew points remaining close to air temperatures, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 24 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes aligns with these model runs and recent surface observations showing minimal temperature drops despite light winds, while the modest probability on 25 °C accounts for possible localized cooling if brief clear intervals develop before dawn.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,278
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 58%, followed by "27°C" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?" is "26°C" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.