Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

29°C 32%

30°C 28%

31°C 18%

28°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

29°C 32%

30°C 28%

31°C 18%

28°C 16%

Polymarket
NEW

24°C or below

$415 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$414 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$233 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$482 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$512 Vol.

16%

29°C

$200 Vol.

32%

30°C

$116 Vol.

28%

31°C

$141 Vol.

18%

32°C

$380 Vol.

6%

33°C

$157 Vol.

2%

34°C or higher

$204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance pegs September 2 daytime temperatures at 27–31 °C under north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak values, as brief sunshine could allow surface heating to 30–31 °C while passing showers and higher humidity suppress maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range amid the trough and distant tropical influence, keeping the market closely balanced between 29 °C and 30 °C implied probabilities. Updated HKO bulletins and local radar trends through the morning will be the key near-term drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,256
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance pegs September 2 daytime temperatures at 27–31 °C under north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected. These conditions create narrow uncertainty around peak values, as brief sunshine could allow surface heating to 30–31 °C while passing showers and higher humidity suppress maxima near 28–29 °C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range amid the trough and distant tropical influence, keeping the market closely balanced between 29 °C and 30 °C implied probabilities. Updated HKO bulletins and local radar trends through the morning will be the key near-term drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,256
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?

42%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

39%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

59%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 32%, followed by "30°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" is "29°C" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.