Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Incheon on September 13 due to consistent model guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold. Official forecasts from sources using GFS data project early-morning readings of 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September. This positioning reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time station observations from Incheon International Airport. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cooling under clearer skies, stronger radiative losses, or revisions in final verified readings that push the daily minimum to 19°C or 21°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
20°C 99%
18°C 2%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,496 Vol.
$10,496 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C 2%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,496 Vol.
$10,496 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$624 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,025 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,066 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,783 Vol.
99%
21°C
$1,913 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Incheon on September 13 due to consistent model guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold. Official forecasts from sources using GFS data project early-morning readings of 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September. This positioning reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time station observations from Incheon International Airport. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cooling under clearer skies, stronger radiative losses, or revisions in final verified readings that push the daily minimum to 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,496End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Incheon on September 13 due to consistent model guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold. Official forecasts from sources using GFS data project early-morning readings of 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September. This positioning reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time station observations from Incheon International Airport. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cooling under clearer skies, stronger radiative losses, or revisions in final verified readings that push the daily minimum to 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,496End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Incheon on September 13 due to consistent model guidance showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold. Official forecasts from sources using GFS data project early-morning readings of 19–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 80–90 percent, aligning closely with climatological norms for mid-September. This positioning reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction outputs and real-time station observations from Incheon International Airport. A realistic challenge could arise from localized cooling under clearer skies, stronger radiative losses, or revisions in final verified readings that push the daily minimum to 19°C or 21°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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