Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature on September 14 most likely between 32°C and 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 46% and 40.5% for those outcomes. Typical September conditions feature southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and afternoon convective showers that often suppress maximum readings below the seasonal average high of 31-32°C. Official outlooks project daily maxima of 33-35°C possible under drier spells, but thundery activity on the 14th introduces variability in timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical data show extremes rarely exceed 34°C in mid-September, supporting trader focus on the narrow 32-33°C band while acknowledging model spread in precipitation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on September 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 14?
32°C 47%
33°C 42%
31°C 9%
30°C 2.2%
NEW
$19,533 Vol.
NEW
$19,533 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
47%
33°C
42%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 42%
31°C 9%
30°C 2.2%
NEW
$19,533 Vol.
NEW
$19,533 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
28°C or below
$1,654 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,048 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,585 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,779 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,378 Vol.
47%
33°C
$5,296 Vol.
42%
34°C
$4,413 Vol.
2%
35°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature on September 14 most likely between 32°C and 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 46% and 40.5% for those outcomes. Typical September conditions feature southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and afternoon convective showers that often suppress maximum readings below the seasonal average high of 31-32°C. Official outlooks project daily maxima of 33-35°C possible under drier spells, but thundery activity on the 14th introduces variability in timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical data show extremes rarely exceed 34°C in mid-September, supporting trader focus on the narrow 32-33°C band while acknowledging model spread in precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,533End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature on September 14 most likely between 32°C and 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 46% and 40.5% for those outcomes. Typical September conditions feature southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and afternoon convective showers that often suppress maximum readings below the seasonal average high of 31-32°C. Official outlooks project daily maxima of 33-35°C possible under drier spells, but thundery activity on the 14th introduces variability in timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical data show extremes rarely exceed 34°C in mid-September, supporting trader focus on the narrow 32-33°C band while acknowledging model spread in precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,533End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and global models indicate a peak temperature on September 14 most likely between 32°C and 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 46% and 40.5% for those outcomes. Typical September conditions feature southeasterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and afternoon convective showers that often suppress maximum readings below the seasonal average high of 31-32°C. Official outlooks project daily maxima of 33-35°C possible under drier spells, but thundery activity on the 14th introduces variability in timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical data show extremes rarely exceed 34°C in mid-September, supporting trader focus on the narrow 32-33°C band while acknowledging model spread in precipitation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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