**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 85.5% implied probability.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer marine air influence are expected to produce a minimum near the historical average low of 55.5°F, with current readings and hourly trends showing temperatures bottoming out in the lower-to-mid 50s overnight. Nearby ranges such as 52-53°F (48%) and 50-51°F (45%) capture residual model spread and measurement variations across official stations, while colder outcomes below 48°F remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming fronts. Warmer extremes above 56°F carry negligible odds under the projected clearing pattern. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and real-time observations, which show minimal deviation risk before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 30?
54-55°F 90%
52-53°F 38%
48-49°F 38%
50-51°F 22%
$1,409 Vol.
$1,409 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
38%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
86%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 90%
52-53°F 38%
48-49°F 38%
50-51°F 22%
$1,409 Vol.
$1,409 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
45°F or below
$124 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$81 Vol.
7%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
38%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
22%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
38%
54-55°F
$84 Vol.
86%
56-57°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$59 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 85.5% implied probability.**
Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer marine air influence are expected to produce a minimum near the historical average low of 55.5°F, with current readings and hourly trends showing temperatures bottoming out in the lower-to-mid 50s overnight. Nearby ranges such as 52-53°F (48%) and 50-51°F (45%) capture residual model spread and measurement variations across official stations, while colder outcomes below 48°F remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming fronts. Warmer extremes above 56°F carry negligible odds under the projected clearing pattern. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and real-time observations, which show minimal deviation risk before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,409End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 85.5% implied probability.**
Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer marine air influence are expected to produce a minimum near the historical average low of 55.5°F, with current readings and hourly trends showing temperatures bottoming out in the lower-to-mid 50s overnight. Nearby ranges such as 52-53°F (48%) and 50-51°F (45%) capture residual model spread and measurement variations across official stations, while colder outcomes below 48°F remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming fronts. Warmer extremes above 56°F carry negligible odds under the projected clearing pattern. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and real-time observations, which show minimal deviation risk before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,409End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an overnight low in the mid-50s for Seattle on August 30, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 85.5% implied probability.** Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-summer marine air influence are expected to produce a minimum near the historical average low of 55.5°F, with current readings and hourly trends showing temperatures bottoming out in the lower-to-mid 50s overnight. Nearby ranges such as 52-53°F (48%) and 50-51°F (45%) capture residual model spread and measurement variations across official stations, while colder outcomes below 48°F remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming fronts. Warmer extremes above 56°F carry negligible odds under the projected clearing pattern. Traders are weighting the latest NWS guidance and real-time observations, which show minimal deviation risk before midnight resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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