Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's August 30 minimum temperature remains closely split between 19°C and 17°C or below because official forecasts and model guidance converge on an overnight low near 18–19°C amid a post-warm-spell transition. A stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed stronger polar advection, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light southerly winds reduce urban heat retention overnight. Historical August minima average 12–13°C, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth persisting into the final hours. Key variables include exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and station-specific readings at Congonhas or official INMET sites, with any clearer intervals or subtle front passage able to tip the outcome either way before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below 46%
21°C <1%
$1,756 Vol.
$1,756 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
46%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below 46%
21°C <1%
$1,756 Vol.
$1,756 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1 Vol.
46%
18°C
$1 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$271 Vol.
1%
22°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's August 30 minimum temperature remains closely split between 19°C and 17°C or below because official forecasts and model guidance converge on an overnight low near 18–19°C amid a post-warm-spell transition. A stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed stronger polar advection, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light southerly winds reduce urban heat retention overnight. Historical August minima average 12–13°C, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth persisting into the final hours. Key variables include exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and station-specific readings at Congonhas or official INMET sites, with any clearer intervals or subtle front passage able to tip the outcome either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,756End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's August 30 minimum temperature remains closely split between 19°C and 17°C or below because official forecasts and model guidance converge on an overnight low near 18–19°C amid a post-warm-spell transition. A stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed stronger polar advection, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light southerly winds reduce urban heat retention overnight. Historical August minima average 12–13°C, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth persisting into the final hours. Key variables include exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and station-specific readings at Congonhas or official INMET sites, with any clearer intervals or subtle front passage able to tip the outcome either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,756End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Sao Paulo's August 30 minimum temperature remains closely split between 19°C and 17°C or below because official forecasts and model guidance converge on an overnight low near 18–19°C amid a post-warm-spell transition. A stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed stronger polar advection, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light southerly winds reduce urban heat retention overnight. Historical August minima average 12–13°C, but current conditions reflect above-normal warmth persisting into the final hours. Key variables include exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and station-specific readings at Congonhas or official INMET sites, with any clearer intervals or subtle front passage able to tip the outcome either way before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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