**Updated forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and regional models point to nighttime lows near 10–12°C in Moscow on September 5 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling while advecting relatively mild maritime air, keeping the daily minimum above the climatological average of roughly 10°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out around 11–13°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising to daytime peaks of 16–18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C (each near 47%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings due to variable rain timing and local wind gusts, with traders weighing official guidance against real-time observational adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
9°C or below 91%
11°C 47%
12°C 47%
10°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
45%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C
48%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 91%
11°C 47%
12°C 47%
10°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
$22 Vol.
91%
10°C
$12 Vol.
45%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$2 Vol.
48%
14°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Updated forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and regional models point to nighttime lows near 10–12°C in Moscow on September 5 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling while advecting relatively mild maritime air, keeping the daily minimum above the climatological average of roughly 10°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out around 11–13°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising to daytime peaks of 16–18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C (each near 47%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings due to variable rain timing and local wind gusts, with traders weighing official guidance against real-time observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$275End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Updated forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and regional models point to nighttime lows near 10–12°C in Moscow on September 5 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling while advecting relatively mild maritime air, keeping the daily minimum above the climatological average of roughly 10°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out around 11–13°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising to daytime peaks of 16–18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C (each near 47%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings due to variable rain timing and local wind gusts, with traders weighing official guidance against real-time observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$275End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Updated forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and regional models point to nighttime lows near 10–12°C in Moscow on September 5 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling while advecting relatively mild maritime air, keeping the daily minimum above the climatological average of roughly 10°C. Hourly guidance shows temperatures bottoming out around 11–13°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising to daytime peaks of 16–18°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C (each near 47%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings due to variable rain timing and local wind gusts, with traders weighing official guidance against real-time observational adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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