Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the lower 80s due to persistent cloud cover, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorms maintaining heat and humidity. These conditions contrast with the historical average low of around 76-77°F for late August, creating a narrow band of uncertainty that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 78-79°F and 80-81°F. Easterly flow and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies further support elevated minima, while any clearer breaks could allow modest drops toward the 76-77°F range. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 30?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,187 Vol.
$4,187 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 5%
73°F or below 2%
82-83°F <1%
$4,187 Vol.
$4,187 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
73°F or below
$137 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$353 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$66 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$286 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$1,266 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$329 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$203 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the lower 80s due to persistent cloud cover, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorms maintaining heat and humidity. These conditions contrast with the historical average low of around 76-77°F for late August, creating a narrow band of uncertainty that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 78-79°F and 80-81°F. Easterly flow and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies further support elevated minima, while any clearer breaks could allow modest drops toward the 76-77°F range. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,187End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the lower 80s due to persistent cloud cover, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorms maintaining heat and humidity. These conditions contrast with the historical average low of around 76-77°F for late August, creating a narrow band of uncertainty that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 78-79°F and 80-81°F. Easterly flow and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies further support elevated minima, while any clearer breaks could allow modest drops toward the 76-77°F range. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,187End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami overnight lows will likely settle in the lower 80s due to persistent cloud cover, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorms maintaining heat and humidity. These conditions contrast with the historical average low of around 76-77°F for late August, creating a narrow band of uncertainty that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 78-79°F and 80-81°F. Easterly flow and limited radiational cooling under overcast skies further support elevated minima, while any clearer breaks could allow modest drops toward the 76-77°F range. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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