Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
7%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
67%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$18 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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