**Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Current conditions feature clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under a stable high-pressure system, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns where overnight radiative cooling produces lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 16–18°C with minimal spread, reflecting low uncertainty in steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18°C, supporting the current positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or measurement revision from the official station, though model consensus makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?
16°C 99.4%
12°C or below 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$1,843 Vol.
$1,843 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.4%
12°C or below 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$1,843 Vol.
$1,843 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
$57 Vol.
1%
13°C
$57 Vol.
1%
14°C
$57 Vol.
1%
15°C
$97 Vol.
1%
16°C
$630 Vol.
99%
17°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$450 Vol.
1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Current conditions feature clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under a stable high-pressure system, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns where overnight radiative cooling produces lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 16–18°C with minimal spread, reflecting low uncertainty in steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18°C, supporting the current positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or measurement revision from the official station, though model consensus makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,843End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Current conditions feature clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under a stable high-pressure system, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns where overnight radiative cooling produces lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 16–18°C with minimal spread, reflecting low uncertainty in steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18°C, supporting the current positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or measurement revision from the official station, though model consensus makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,843End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from major meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 5, 2026, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Current conditions feature clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under a stable high-pressure system, consistent with seasonal late-summer patterns where overnight radiative cooling produces lows in the mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 16–18°C with minimal spread, reflecting low uncertainty in steering patterns and no incoming frontal systems or moisture that could alter the trajectory. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18°C, supporting the current positioning. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler air or measurement revision from the official station, though model consensus makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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