Persistent heat and high humidity across North Texas, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 80–82 °F for Dallas on August 31. Official guidance from multiple forecast models shows lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market’s closely matched probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. The absence of a frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period reduces the chance of meaningfully cooler readings, while typical late-August climatology (average low near 75 °F) underscores how anomalous the current warmth remains. Updated National Weather Service runs tonight will provide the final observational benchmark ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 31?
76-77°F 65%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 44%
74-75°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
65%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 65%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 44%
74-75°F 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$145 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$17 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
65%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
53%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$45 Vol.
33%
88-89°F
$19 Vol.
3%
90°F or higher
$145 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and high humidity across North Texas, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 80–82 °F for Dallas on August 31. Official guidance from multiple forecast models shows lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market’s closely matched probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. The absence of a frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period reduces the chance of meaningfully cooler readings, while typical late-August climatology (average low near 75 °F) underscores how anomalous the current warmth remains. Updated National Weather Service runs tonight will provide the final observational benchmark ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$386End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and high humidity across North Texas, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 80–82 °F for Dallas on August 31. Official guidance from multiple forecast models shows lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market’s closely matched probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. The absence of a frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period reduces the chance of meaningfully cooler readings, while typical late-August climatology (average low near 75 °F) underscores how anomalous the current warmth remains. Updated National Weather Service runs tonight will provide the final observational benchmark ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat and high humidity across North Texas, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies, are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 80–82 °F for Dallas on August 31. Official guidance from multiple forecast models shows lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market’s closely matched probabilities for the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins. The absence of a frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period reduces the chance of meaningfully cooler readings, while typical late-August climatology (average low near 75 °F) underscores how anomalous the current warmth remains. Updated National Weather Service runs tonight will provide the final observational benchmark ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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