Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 1 around 22–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the early-September climatological baseline of roughly 23–25°C minimums during the summer-to-autumn transition. Persistent warm airmass and limited radiative cooling under high pressure have kept temperatures elevated despite recent localized rainfall and modest cooling earlier in the week. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 18°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spread and potential for localized urban heat-island effects or measurement variations, while probabilities cluster near 20–23°C align more closely with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date. Official updates from Chinese meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
18°C or below 79%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
79%
19°C
23%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
25%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 79%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$64 Vol.
79%
19°C
$12 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$140 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 1 around 22–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the early-September climatological baseline of roughly 23–25°C minimums during the summer-to-autumn transition. Persistent warm airmass and limited radiative cooling under high pressure have kept temperatures elevated despite recent localized rainfall and modest cooling earlier in the week. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 18°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spread and potential for localized urban heat-island effects or measurement variations, while probabilities cluster near 20–23°C align more closely with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date. Official updates from Chinese meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 1 around 22–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the early-September climatological baseline of roughly 23–25°C minimums during the summer-to-autumn transition. Persistent warm airmass and limited radiative cooling under high pressure have kept temperatures elevated despite recent localized rainfall and modest cooling earlier in the week. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 18°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spread and potential for localized urban heat-island effects or measurement variations, while probabilities cluster near 20–23°C align more closely with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date. Official updates from Chinese meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed minimum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 1 around 22–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, consistent with the early-September climatological baseline of roughly 23–25°C minimums during the summer-to-autumn transition. Persistent warm airmass and limited radiative cooling under high pressure have kept temperatures elevated despite recent localized rainfall and modest cooling earlier in the week. Trader emphasis on outcomes at or below 18°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spread and potential for localized urban heat-island effects or measurement variations, while probabilities cluster near 20–23°C align more closely with ensemble guidance and historical analogs for the date. Official updates from Chinese meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine the final observed minimum used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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