Official forecasts and real-time observations from Chinese meteorological services show Beijing's minimum temperature on August 30 reached 16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that promoted efficient radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology where diurnal ranges often exceed 15°C amid dry conditions and weak synoptic forcing, producing strong trader consensus at the 16°C outcome. Model agreement across guidance remains high with minimal spread, though slight variations in station siting or urban heat island effects could shift the final recorded value by 1°C. New hourly data releases through the evening will confirm the exact low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
16°C 100.0%
$3,008 Vol.
$3,008 Vol.
16°C
100%
16°C 100.0%
$3,008 Vol.
$3,008 Vol.
16°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts and real-time observations from Chinese meteorological services show Beijing's minimum temperature on August 30 reached 16°C under clear skies and light northerly winds that promoted efficient radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer climatology where diurnal ranges often exceed 15°C amid dry conditions and weak synoptic forcing, producing strong trader consensus at the 16°C outcome. Model agreement across guidance remains high with minimal spread, though slight variations in station siting or urban heat island effects could shift the final recorded value by 1°C. New hourly data releases through the evening will confirm the exact low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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