Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity near 65-70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact minimum readings, with close odds across bins near 76-79°F and cooler outliers, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew point depression, or urban heat effects can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 69°F contrast with current warm advection, while high-end probabilities account for potential measurement variations at official stations amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these ranges before daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 13?
69°F or below 97%
82-83°F 40%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
69°F or below
97%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 97%
82-83°F 40%
76-77°F 29%
72-73°F 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
97%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$40 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$55 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity near 65-70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact minimum readings, with close odds across bins near 76-79°F and cooler outliers, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew point depression, or urban heat effects can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 69°F contrast with current warm advection, while high-end probabilities account for potential measurement variations at official stations amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these ranges before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$105End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity near 65-70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact minimum readings, with close odds across bins near 76-79°F and cooler outliers, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew point depression, or urban heat effects can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 69°F contrast with current warm advection, while high-end probabilities account for potential measurement variations at official stations amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these ranges before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$105End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional analyses project an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity near 65-70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact minimum readings, with close odds across bins near 76-79°F and cooler outliers, as small shifts in cloud cover, dew point depression, or urban heat effects can alter surface temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 69°F contrast with current warm advection, while high-end probabilities account for potential measurement variations at official stations amid heat indices exceeding 105°F. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these ranges before daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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