Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 6, 2026, supporting radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 15–17°C at the city’s elevation, aligning with September climatological averages around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover or moisture to moderate the drop, though slight variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 2–3°C. With leading market outcomes clustered between 20°C or higher and 10°C or below, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as new model runs or local observations could refine the overnight trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
20°C or higher 80%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
-
11°C
24%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C or higher
80%
20°C or higher 80%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$4 Vol.
-
11°C
$8 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$6 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 6, 2026, supporting radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 15–17°C at the city’s elevation, aligning with September climatological averages around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover or moisture to moderate the drop, though slight variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 2–3°C. With leading market outcomes clustered between 20°C or higher and 10°C or below, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as new model runs or local observations could refine the overnight trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 6, 2026, supporting radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 15–17°C at the city’s elevation, aligning with September climatological averages around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover or moisture to moderate the drop, though slight variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 2–3°C. With leading market outcomes clustered between 20°C or higher and 10°C or below, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as new model runs or local observations could refine the overnight trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Ankara on September 6, 2026, supporting radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures near 15–17°C at the city’s elevation, aligning with September climatological averages around 14–16°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cloud cover or moisture to moderate the drop, though slight variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 2–3°C. With leading market outcomes clustered between 20°C or higher and 10°C or below, traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as new model runs or local observations could refine the overnight trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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