**Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei today, positioning 25–26°C as the dominant outcomes in the market.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional forecasts show overcast skies with 95–100% precipitation probability, thunderstorms, and northwest winds around 8–10 mph (13–16 km/h). These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum well below September’s climatological average of ~31°C. Current observations hover near 25°C amid ongoing showers, with little evidence of clearing that would allow temperatures to climb further. Market-implied probabilities (54.9% for 25°C, 34.5% for 26°C) closely track this forecast consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of the low likelihood of significant warming given the entrenched synoptic pattern. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry minimal weight because any break in cloud cover would need to occur early and persist—an unlikely scenario based on the latest model runs. The resolution will hinge on official Central Weather Bureau or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
25°C 50.0%
26°C 23.4%
27°C 10%
28°C 2%
$31,659 Vol.
$31,659 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
51%
26°C
35%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50.0%
26°C 23.4%
27°C 10%
28°C 2%
$31,659 Vol.
$31,659 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$431 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,522 Vol.
51%
26°C
$4,903 Vol.
35%
27°C
$4,195 Vol.
10%
28°C
$4,540 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,730 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$601 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei today, positioning 25–26°C as the dominant outcomes in the market.**
Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional forecasts show overcast skies with 95–100% precipitation probability, thunderstorms, and northwest winds around 8–10 mph (13–16 km/h). These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum well below September’s climatological average of ~31°C. Current observations hover near 25°C amid ongoing showers, with little evidence of clearing that would allow temperatures to climb further.
Market-implied probabilities (54.9% for 25°C, 34.5% for 26°C) closely track this forecast consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of the low likelihood of significant warming given the entrenched synoptic pattern. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry minimal weight because any break in cloud cover would need to occur early and persist—an unlikely scenario based on the latest model runs. The resolution will hinge on official Central Weather Bureau or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,659End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei today, positioning 25–26°C as the dominant outcomes in the market.**
Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional forecasts show overcast skies with 95–100% precipitation probability, thunderstorms, and northwest winds around 8–10 mph (13–16 km/h). These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum well below September’s climatological average of ~31°C. Current observations hover near 25°C amid ongoing showers, with little evidence of clearing that would allow temperatures to climb further.
Market-implied probabilities (54.9% for 25°C, 34.5% for 26°C) closely track this forecast consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of the low likelihood of significant warming given the entrenched synoptic pattern. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry minimal weight because any break in cloud cover would need to occur early and persist—an unlikely scenario based on the latest model runs. The resolution will hinge on official Central Weather Bureau or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,659End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity are suppressing daytime heating in Taipei today, positioning 25–26°C as the dominant outcomes in the market.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and regional forecasts show overcast skies with 95–100% precipitation probability, thunderstorms, and northwest winds around 8–10 mph (13–16 km/h). These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum well below September’s climatological average of ~31°C. Current observations hover near 25°C amid ongoing showers, with little evidence of clearing that would allow temperatures to climb further. Market-implied probabilities (54.9% for 25°C, 34.5% for 26°C) closely track this forecast consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of the low likelihood of significant warming given the entrenched synoptic pattern. Higher thresholds (27°C+) carry minimal weight because any break in cloud cover would need to occur early and persist—an unlikely scenario based on the latest model runs. The resolution will hinge on official Central Weather Bureau or equivalent station readings for the calendar-day maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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