Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain elevated humidity and limit daytime cooling. Early September climatology shows typical daily maxima around 35–37°C with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Scattered cloud or isolated thunderstorms noted in some runs introduce minor uncertainty that could cap or slightly elevate readings, while no major synoptic shifts appear imminent before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the stable steering patterns and lack of heatwave indicators in latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 8?
37°C 42%
36°C 32%
38°C 13%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
32%
37°C
42%
38°C
13%
39°C or higher
6%
37°C 42%
36°C 32%
38°C 13%
34°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$7 Vol.
9%
36°C
$81 Vol.
32%
37°C
$87 Vol.
42%
38°C
$6 Vol.
13%
39°C or higher
$42 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain elevated humidity and limit daytime cooling. Early September climatology shows typical daily maxima around 35–37°C with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Scattered cloud or isolated thunderstorms noted in some runs introduce minor uncertainty that could cap or slightly elevate readings, while no major synoptic shifts appear imminent before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the stable steering patterns and lack of heatwave indicators in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$224End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain elevated humidity and limit daytime cooling. Early September climatology shows typical daily maxima around 35–37°C with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Scattered cloud or isolated thunderstorms noted in some runs introduce minor uncertainty that could cap or slightly elevate readings, while no major synoptic shifts appear imminent before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the stable steering patterns and lack of heatwave indicators in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$224End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services point to a highest temperature of 36–37°C in Jeddah on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain elevated humidity and limit daytime cooling. Early September climatology shows typical daily maxima around 35–37°C with minimal rainfall expected, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Scattered cloud or isolated thunderstorms noted in some runs introduce minor uncertainty that could cap or slightly elevate readings, while no major synoptic shifts appear imminent before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the stable steering patterns and lack of heatwave indicators in latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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