Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston, with mostly sunny skies giving way to isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms that introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. Southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet sea-breeze convergence or earlier convective initiation could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. The near-even split between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes reflects model spread in storm timing and mixing depth rather than any large-scale shift. Updated runs from the NHC and local WFO over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to trim the maximum or remains suppressed, directly informing the narrowest resolution bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 8?
94-95°F 40%
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 40%
92-93°F 36%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$26 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$136 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$44 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$19 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$967 Vol.
36%
94-95°F
$546 Vol.
40%
96-97°F
$55 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$15 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$65 Vol.
2%
102°F or higher
$416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston, with mostly sunny skies giving way to isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms that introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. Southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet sea-breeze convergence or earlier convective initiation could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. The near-even split between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes reflects model spread in storm timing and mixing depth rather than any large-scale shift. Updated runs from the NHC and local WFO over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to trim the maximum or remains suppressed, directly informing the narrowest resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,676End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston, with mostly sunny skies giving way to isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms that introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. Southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet sea-breeze convergence or earlier convective initiation could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. The near-even split between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes reflects model spread in storm timing and mixing depth rather than any large-scale shift. Updated runs from the NHC and local WFO over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to trim the maximum or remains suppressed, directly informing the narrowest resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,676End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance converge on a Tuesday high near 94°F in Houston, with mostly sunny skies giving way to isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms that introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings. Southerly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet sea-breeze convergence or earlier convective initiation could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s. The near-even split between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes reflects model spread in storm timing and mixing depth rather than any large-scale shift. Updated runs from the NHC and local WFO over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to trim the maximum or remains suppressed, directly informing the narrowest resolution bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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