Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 53%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
22°C 4%
NEW
$28,650 Vol.
NEW
$28,650 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
53%
25°C
24%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 53%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
22°C 4%
NEW
$28,650 Vol.
NEW
$28,650 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25,362 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$280 Vol.
1%
21°C
$90 Vol.
2%
22°C
$440 Vol.
4%
23°C
$695 Vol.
13%
24°C
$852 Vol.
53%
25°C
$522 Vol.
24%
26°C
$17 Vol.
4%
27°C
$11 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,650End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,650End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on September 6, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Dry conditions and moderate humidity support efficient daytime heating without excessive buildup, while the seasonal baseline average high of 21.2°C underscores the slightly above-normal reading. Model consensus across sources clusters tightly between 23°C and 25°C, with minimal disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover, explaining the combined 88.5% probability on those three bins and the sharp drop-off for extremes. Final NHC-style observational verification tomorrow will resolve the market based on the official maximum at the Munich station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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