Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly airflow advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without full insolation. This setup follows fine conditions on September 5, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting incremental warming above the seasonal average of 21°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in 10-meter wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs for early September show comparable variability under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on September 6?
Highest temperature in London on September 6?
26°C 43%
25°C 33%
27°C 19%
24°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
33%
26°C
43%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 33%
27°C 19%
24°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$612 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$434 Vol.
2%
24°C
$972 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,406 Vol.
33%
26°C
$999 Vol.
43%
27°C
$1,489 Vol.
19%
28°C
$662 Vol.
4%
29°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly airflow advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without full insolation. This setup follows fine conditions on September 5, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting incremental warming above the seasonal average of 21°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in 10-meter wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs for early September show comparable variability under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$8,505End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly airflow advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without full insolation. This setup follows fine conditions on September 5, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting incremental warming above the seasonal average of 21°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in 10-meter wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs for early September show comparable variability under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,505End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C in London on September 6, driven by southerly airflow advecting milder air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without full insolation. This setup follows fine conditions on September 5, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting incremental warming above the seasonal average of 21°C. Trader consensus clusters on 25–27°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in 10-meter wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C, while historical analogs for early September show comparable variability under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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