Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Moscow's September 8 high will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Nighttime lows near 7–10°C further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average maxima hover around 16–18°C but can dip under persistent overcast and northerly winds. Trader emphasis on 14°C reflects tight model agreement on peak values, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution. Updated runs from national meteorological centers will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
14°C 32%
13°C 23%
12°C 20%
15°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
7%
12°C
20%
13°C
23%
14°C
32%
15°C
20%
16°C
7%
17°C or higher
7%
14°C 32%
13°C 23%
12°C 20%
15°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
4%
9°C
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
7%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$10 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C or higher
$31 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Moscow's September 8 high will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Nighttime lows near 7–10°C further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average maxima hover around 16–18°C but can dip under persistent overcast and northerly winds. Trader emphasis on 14°C reflects tight model agreement on peak values, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution. Updated runs from national meteorological centers will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Moscow's September 8 high will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Nighttime lows near 7–10°C further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average maxima hover around 16–18°C but can dip under persistent overcast and northerly winds. Trader emphasis on 14°C reflects tight model agreement on peak values, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution. Updated runs from national meteorological centers will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Moscow's September 8 high will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime insolation. Nighttime lows near 7–10°C further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average maxima hover around 16–18°C but can dip under persistent overcast and northerly winds. Trader emphasis on 14°C reflects tight model agreement on peak values, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C before resolution. Updated runs from national meteorological centers will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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