Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Taipei on September 6 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 24–25°C, light variable winds, and overcast conditions from an active monsoon trough or nearby disturbance suppress radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island in the Taipei basin adds residual warmth. Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities, with minor disagreements on shower timing creating the tight spread between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and evening observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
22°C 45%
28°C 44%
21°C 43%
25°C 36%
20°C or below
16%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
44%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
16%
22°C 45%
28°C 44%
21°C 43%
25°C 36%
20°C or below
16%
21°C
43%
22°C
45%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
44%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Taipei on September 6 are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 24–25°C, light variable winds, and overcast conditions from an active monsoon trough or nearby disturbance suppress radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island in the Taipei basin adds residual warmth. Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-20s°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities, with minor disagreements on shower timing creating the tight spread between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and evening observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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