Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 9?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 9?
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
47%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$54 Vol.
1%
30°C
$18 Vol.
2%
31°C
$90 Vol.
8%
32°C
$221 Vol.
47%
33°C
$124 Vol.
39%
34°C
$126 Vol.
7%
35°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,377End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,377End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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