Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
NEW
$29,202 Vol.
NEW
$29,202 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
12%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
NEW
$29,202 Vol.
NEW
$29,202 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$3,006 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,746 Vol.
1%
27°C
$777 Vol.
9%
28°C
$3,232 Vol.
12%
29°C
$7,408 Vol.
33%
30°C
$4,391 Vol.
29%
31°C
$6,133 Vol.
14%
32°C
$888 Vol.
3%
33°C
$853 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$29,202End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,202End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a strengthening frontal system and associated cloud cover with widespread rain will limit daytime solar heating in Shanghai on September 2, keeping the maximum near 28–30°C. Elevated humidity and northeasterly flow further reduce the potential for higher readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces the tight market clustering around 29°C and 30°C, as small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness could shift the observed peak by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shanghai forecasts will provide the final resolution criteria later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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