Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international models, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 6, supporting a daytime high near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C outcomes, reflecting above-average early-September warmth driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet stable high pressure and easterly flow have favored readings several degrees above the long-term mean high of about 26°C. With resolution imminent, any late model adjustments to wind or insolation could shift the exact peak within the narrow 30–31°C window favored by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
31°C 56%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
35%
31°C
56%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$509 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$621 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,023 Vol.
6%
30°C
$928 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,097 Vol.
56%
32°C
$514 Vol.
7%
33°C
$411 Vol.
2%
34°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international models, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 6, supporting a daytime high near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C outcomes, reflecting above-average early-September warmth driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet stable high pressure and easterly flow have favored readings several degrees above the long-term mean high of about 26°C. With resolution imminent, any late model adjustments to wind or insolation could shift the exact peak within the narrow 30–31°C window favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,091End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international models, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 6, supporting a daytime high near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C outcomes, reflecting above-average early-September warmth driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet stable high pressure and easterly flow have favored readings several degrees above the long-term mean high of about 26°C. With resolution imminent, any late model adjustments to wind or insolation could shift the exact peak within the narrow 30–31°C window favored by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,091End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local Chinese weather services and international models, indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeast winds for Qingdao on September 6, supporting a daytime high near 29–30°C. This aligns with the market’s strong implied probabilities for 30°C and 31°C outcomes, reflecting above-average early-September warmth driven by clear skies and minimal cloud cover that enhance solar heating. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet stable high pressure and easterly flow have favored readings several degrees above the long-term mean high of about 26°C. With resolution imminent, any late model adjustments to wind or insolation could shift the exact peak within the narrow 30–31°C window favored by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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