Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for Panama City’s peak temperature today, reflecting ensemble spread in NOAA and regional models amid typical August wet-season conditions. Persistent Intertropical Convergence Zone moisture fuels variable convective cloud cover that modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, with afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity creating the narrow gap between these outcomes. Higher humidity and light winds further limit extreme maxima by enhancing evaporative cooling once showers develop, while clearer intervals could briefly push readings to 31°C. Historical climatology places the long-term August average near 30°C, so model updates on cloud fraction and precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 18?
30°C 38%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NEW
$10,136 Vol.
NEW
$10,136 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
38%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NEW
$10,136 Vol.
NEW
$10,136 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$865 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$978 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$457 Vol.
1%
28°C
$695 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,235 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1,407 Vol.
38%
31°C
$2,031 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,389 Vol.
14%
33°C
$624 Vol.
2%
34°C
$357 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$97 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for Panama City’s peak temperature today, reflecting ensemble spread in NOAA and regional models amid typical August wet-season conditions. Persistent Intertropical Convergence Zone moisture fuels variable convective cloud cover that modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, with afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity creating the narrow gap between these outcomes. Higher humidity and light winds further limit extreme maxima by enhancing evaporative cooling once showers develop, while clearer intervals could briefly push readings to 31°C. Historical climatology places the long-term August average near 30°C, so model updates on cloud fraction and precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,136End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for Panama City’s peak temperature today, reflecting ensemble spread in NOAA and regional models amid typical August wet-season conditions. Persistent Intertropical Convergence Zone moisture fuels variable convective cloud cover that modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, with afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity creating the narrow gap between these outcomes. Higher humidity and light winds further limit extreme maxima by enhancing evaporative cooling once showers develop, while clearer intervals could briefly push readings to 31°C. Historical climatology places the long-term August average near 30°C, so model updates on cloud fraction and precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,136End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for Panama City’s peak temperature today, reflecting ensemble spread in NOAA and regional models amid typical August wet-season conditions. Persistent Intertropical Convergence Zone moisture fuels variable convective cloud cover that modulates incoming solar radiation and surface heating rates, with afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity creating the narrow gap between these outcomes. Higher humidity and light winds further limit extreme maxima by enhancing evaporative cooling once showers develop, while clearer intervals could briefly push readings to 31°C. Historical climatology places the long-term August average near 30°C, so model updates on cloud fraction and precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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