Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain possible, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected to peak near 12–13°C, well below the long-term September 7 average of 18°C, as a cooler air mass dominates following recent unsettled weather. These conditions support the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C and 13°C, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, but consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
12°C 46%
13°C 37%
11°C 9%
14°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
46%
13°C
37%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 46%
13°C 37%
11°C 9%
14°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
$452 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$176 Vol.
2%
10°C
$210 Vol.
3%
11°C
$622 Vol.
9%
12°C
$830 Vol.
46%
13°C
$427 Vol.
37%
14°C
$222 Vol.
7%
15°C
$143 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$243 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain possible, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected to peak near 12–13°C, well below the long-term September 7 average of 18°C, as a cooler air mass dominates following recent unsettled weather. These conditions support the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C and 13°C, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, but consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,070End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain possible, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected to peak near 12–13°C, well below the long-term September 7 average of 18°C, as a cooler air mass dominates following recent unsettled weather. These conditions support the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C and 13°C, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, but consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,070End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a cool, mostly cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain possible, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected to peak near 12–13°C, well below the long-term September 7 average of 18°C, as a cooler air mass dominates following recent unsettled weather. These conditions support the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C and 13°C, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model variations in cloud cover or timing of any showers could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, but consensus remains tight ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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