**Trader consensus has converged on a 30°C daily maximum for Karachi on August 30, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models, including Met Office guidance, projected a maximum of 30°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest monsoon winds, and typical sea-breeze cooling from the Arabian Sea. Real-time observations throughout the day aligned with this range, with temperatures peaking near or at 30°C amid high humidity and haze. This outcome reflects historical late-August climatology, where averages hover around 30–32°C but are often tempered by moisture and wind. The strong consensus stems from model agreement and in-day data rather than uncertainty. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an atypical wind shift could realistically push readings above 30°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,693 Vol.
$25,693 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,693 Vol.
$25,693 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 30°C daily maximum for Karachi on August 30, 2026, at 100% implied probability.** Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models, including Met Office guidance, projected a maximum of 30°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest monsoon winds, and typical sea-breeze cooling from the Arabian Sea. Real-time observations throughout the day aligned with this range, with temperatures peaking near or at 30°C amid high humidity and haze. This outcome reflects historical late-August climatology, where averages hover around 30–32°C but are often tempered by moisture and wind. The strong consensus stems from model agreement and in-day data rather than uncertainty. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an atypical wind shift could realistically push readings above 30°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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