Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project maximum temperatures of 30–34°C under typical midsummer conditions driven by the subtropical high and East Asian monsoon influence across the North China Plain. Recent model runs and agency guidance align with August climatology, where daily highs routinely exceed 30°C amid strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat effects, keeping readings well above the 26°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this established pattern and short-range forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover and rain to suppress temperatures, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current steering patterns and seasonal norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 19?
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
25°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$1,001 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project maximum temperatures of 30–34°C under typical midsummer conditions driven by the subtropical high and East Asian monsoon influence across the North China Plain. Recent model runs and agency guidance align with August climatology, where daily highs routinely exceed 30°C amid strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat effects, keeping readings well above the 26°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this established pattern and short-range forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover and rain to suppress temperatures, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current steering patterns and seasonal norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,164End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project maximum temperatures of 30–34°C under typical midsummer conditions driven by the subtropical high and East Asian monsoon influence across the North China Plain. Recent model runs and agency guidance align with August climatology, where daily highs routinely exceed 30°C amid strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat effects, keeping readings well above the 26°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this established pattern and short-range forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover and rain to suppress temperatures, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current steering patterns and seasonal norms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,164End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project maximum temperatures of 30–34°C under typical midsummer conditions driven by the subtropical high and East Asian monsoon influence across the North China Plain. Recent model runs and agency guidance align with August climatology, where daily highs routinely exceed 30°C amid strong solar heating, high humidity, and urban heat effects, keeping readings well above the 26°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this established pattern and short-range forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover and rain to suppress temperatures, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current steering patterns and seasonal norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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