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icon for Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?

Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?

icon for Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?

Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?

43°C 30%

42°C 27%

44°C 25%

45°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$20,356 Vol.

43°C 30%

42°C 27%

44°C 25%

45°C 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$20,356 Vol.

36°C or below

$2,003 Vol.

<1%

37°C

$569 Vol.

<1%

38°C

$246 Vol.

<1%

39°C

$798 Vol.

1%

40°C

$3,488 Vol.

1%

41°C

$1,447 Vol.

9%

42°C

$585 Vol.

27%

43°C

$3,951 Vol.

30%

44°C

$2,346 Vol.

25%

45°C

$1,060 Vol.

12%

46°C or higher

$3,863 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 1 peak temperature clusters tightly around 42–44 °C because official forecasts and recent National Center for Meteorology guidance point to above-average heat amid a broader Saudi summer pattern.** August climatology places Jeddah’s mean daily maximum near 38–39 °C, driven by high solar insolation, persistent Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and light northerly winds that reduce mixing. Recent model runs show slightly stronger high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima several degrees warmer than the long-term mean. The narrow spread among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily peak, local micro-climate effects near the measurement site, and small differences among ensemble members regarding sea-breeze onset or dust-induced shortwave absorption. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the Saudi meteorological authority, so any late-day wind shift or brief cloud increase could tip the recorded high between the closely matched 42 °C, 43 °C, and 44 °C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,356
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 1 peak temperature clusters tightly around 42–44 °C because official forecasts and recent National Center for Meteorology guidance point to above-average heat amid a broader Saudi summer pattern.** August climatology places Jeddah’s mean daily maximum near 38–39 °C, driven by high solar insolation, persistent Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and light northerly winds that reduce mixing. Recent model runs show slightly stronger high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima several degrees warmer than the long-term mean. The narrow spread among the three leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily peak, local micro-climate effects near the measurement site, and small differences among ensemble members regarding sea-breeze onset or dust-induced shortwave absorption. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum reported by the Saudi meteorological authority, so any late-day wind shift or brief cloud increase could tip the recorded high between the closely matched 42 °C, 43 °C, and 44 °C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,356
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "43°C" at 30%, followed by "42°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?" is "43°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "42°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.