**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 Vol.
$173,990 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$173,990 Vol.
$173,990 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,287 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$13,252 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$20,236 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$34,489 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$56,428 Vol.
100%
33°C
$29,179 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,934 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,357 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$173,990End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173,990End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory records show a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 28, 2026, anchoring the market’s near-certain 99.9% implied probability on that outcome.** Subtropical summer conditions, including a broad low-pressure trough over the region, supported typical diurnal warming with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and relative humidity around 75–80%, allowing the afternoon peak without the heavy rain or stronger cooling that would have suppressed the high. This aligns with climatological expectations for late-August temperatures in Hong Kong. The only realistic challenges would involve post-initial publication revisions to the HKO’s Absolute Daily Max value or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy at the official station, both of which the market explicitly excludes once data finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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