**Forecasts from official sources and global models place Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature today in a tight 13–15 °C window under persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and possible drizzle.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, daytime warming is modest; thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while mild onshore winds limit advective warming from the interior. Model consensus (including Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance) converges on a peak near 13–14 °C, with only modest upside if partial clearing occurs or if the boundary layer mixes slightly more than expected. The near-even market split between 13 °C and 14 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, while the lower probability attached to 15 °C captures the smaller chance of brief breaks in the overcast. Lower outcomes remain remote because baseline climatology and current synoptic pattern make sub-12 °C maxima unlikely without a stronger cold-air surge. Traders are effectively pricing the latest model runs and real-time observations, which continue to show only minor spread in expected peak values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
13°C 44%
14°C 44%
15°C 14%
12°C 2%
NEW
$15,507 Vol.
NEW
$15,507 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C
14%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
14°C 44%
15°C 14%
12°C 2%
NEW
$15,507 Vol.
NEW
$15,507 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
$595 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$863 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,009 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,705 Vol.
44%
14°C
$4,061 Vol.
44%
15°C
$2,217 Vol.
14%
16°C
$958 Vol.
2%
17°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$954 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from official sources and global models place Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature today in a tight 13–15 °C window under persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and possible drizzle.**
In the Southern Hemisphere winter, daytime warming is modest; thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while mild onshore winds limit advective warming from the interior. Model consensus (including Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance) converges on a peak near 13–14 °C, with only modest upside if partial clearing occurs or if the boundary layer mixes slightly more than expected. The near-even market split between 13 °C and 14 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, while the lower probability attached to 15 °C captures the smaller chance of brief breaks in the overcast. Lower outcomes remain remote because baseline climatology and current synoptic pattern make sub-12 °C maxima unlikely without a stronger cold-air surge. Traders are effectively pricing the latest model runs and real-time observations, which continue to show only minor spread in expected peak values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$15,507End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from official sources and global models place Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature today in a tight 13–15 °C window under persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and possible drizzle.**
In the Southern Hemisphere winter, daytime warming is modest; thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while mild onshore winds limit advective warming from the interior. Model consensus (including Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance) converges on a peak near 13–14 °C, with only modest upside if partial clearing occurs or if the boundary layer mixes slightly more than expected. The near-even market split between 13 °C and 14 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, while the lower probability attached to 15 °C captures the smaller chance of brief breaks in the overcast. Lower outcomes remain remote because baseline climatology and current synoptic pattern make sub-12 °C maxima unlikely without a stronger cold-air surge. Traders are effectively pricing the latest model runs and real-time observations, which continue to show only minor spread in expected peak values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,507End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from official sources and global models place Buenos Aires’ maximum temperature today in a tight 13–15 °C window under persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and possible drizzle.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, daytime warming is modest; thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while mild onshore winds limit advective warming from the interior. Model consensus (including Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance) converges on a peak near 13–14 °C, with only modest upside if partial clearing occurs or if the boundary layer mixes slightly more than expected. The near-even market split between 13 °C and 14 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, while the lower probability attached to 15 °C captures the smaller chance of brief breaks in the overcast. Lower outcomes remain remote because baseline climatology and current synoptic pattern make sub-12 °C maxima unlikely without a stronger cold-air surge. Traders are effectively pricing the latest model runs and real-time observations, which continue to show only minor spread in expected peak values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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