**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and persistent high pressure.** South-Central Texas has seen hot, dry conditions through mid-August, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and heat indices reaching 100–109°F. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs start near 99°F before a gradual seasonal decline, rarely exceeding 102°F without exceptional setups. No significant frontal passages, increased cloud cover, or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin (48%) followed by 102–103°F (23%). Updated model runs and agency briefings over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range, giving traders high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official Austin temperature observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 15?
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$28 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$157 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$538 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$334 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$348 Vol.
48%
102-103°F
$15 Vol.
23%
104-105°F
$82 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$54 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$156 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and persistent high pressure.** South-Central Texas has seen hot, dry conditions through mid-August, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and heat indices reaching 100–109°F. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs start near 99°F before a gradual seasonal decline, rarely exceeding 102°F without exceptional setups. No significant frontal passages, increased cloud cover, or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin (48%) followed by 102–103°F (23%). Updated model runs and agency briefings over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range, giving traders high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official Austin temperature observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,065End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and persistent high pressure.** South-Central Texas has seen hot, dry conditions through mid-August, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and heat indices reaching 100–109°F. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs start near 99°F before a gradual seasonal decline, rarely exceeding 102°F without exceptional setups. No significant frontal passages, increased cloud cover, or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin (48%) followed by 102–103°F (23%). Updated model runs and agency briefings over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range, giving traders high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official Austin temperature observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,065End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and persistent high pressure.** South-Central Texas has seen hot, dry conditions through mid-August, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and heat indices reaching 100–109°F. This aligns with August climatology, where average highs start near 99°F before a gradual seasonal decline, rarely exceeding 102°F without exceptional setups. No significant frontal passages, increased cloud cover, or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures tomorrow, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin (48%) followed by 102–103°F (23%). Updated model runs and agency briefings over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow range, giving traders high-confidence resolution criteria tied to official Austin temperature observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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