Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and European forecasts points to a daytime high near 28–29 °C in Ankara on August 16, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, though the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 27 °C and 28 °C. This positioning reflects a slight cooling trend relative to long-term August averages of 31–32 °C, driven by lower-than-normal regional temperatures so far this month and limited moisture from the north. Key differentiating factors between the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes include small uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and precise steering of high-pressure systems, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
27°C 40%
28°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
40%
28°C
35%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 35%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$7 Vol.
40%
28°C
$118 Vol.
35%
29°C
$19 Vol.
17%
30°C
$20 Vol.
4%
31°C
$4 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and European forecasts points to a daytime high near 28–29 °C in Ankara on August 16, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, though the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 27 °C and 28 °C. This positioning reflects a slight cooling trend relative to long-term August averages of 31–32 °C, driven by lower-than-normal regional temperatures so far this month and limited moisture from the north. Key differentiating factors between the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes include small uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and precise steering of high-pressure systems, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$188End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and European forecasts points to a daytime high near 28–29 °C in Ankara on August 16, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, though the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 27 °C and 28 °C. This positioning reflects a slight cooling trend relative to long-term August averages of 31–32 °C, driven by lower-than-normal regional temperatures so far this month and limited moisture from the north. Key differentiating factors between the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes include small uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and precise steering of high-pressure systems, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$188End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and European forecasts points to a daytime high near 28–29 °C in Ankara on August 16, 2026, with mostly sunny conditions and light northeasterly winds, though the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 27 °C and 28 °C. This positioning reflects a slight cooling trend relative to long-term August averages of 31–32 °C, driven by lower-than-normal regional temperatures so far this month and limited moisture from the north. Key differentiating factors between the closely matched 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes include small uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing, and precise steering of high-pressure systems, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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