Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$11,673 Vol.
$11,673 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,673 Vol.
$11,673 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,673End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,673End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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