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Largest Company end of August?

icon for Largest Company end of August?

Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA 74%

Apple 22%

Alphabet 3.9%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$39,903 Vol.

NVIDIA 74%

Apple 22%

Alphabet 3.9%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$39,903 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$20,856 Vol.

74%

icon for Apple

Apple

$5,063 Vol.

22%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$2,583 Vol.

4%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$1,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$1,995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$2,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$2,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$1,984 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds a leading 67.5% market-implied probability of remaining the largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026, driven by its dominant position in AI accelerators and sustained demand for its GPUs amid rapid large language model development. Recent quarterly results and ongoing hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around NVIDIA's valuation edge, currently exceeding $4.7 trillion compared to Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft. Alphabet and Apple sit near 42-48% odds on potential near-term gains in cloud and consumer segments, while lower probabilities for Amazon, Broadcom, and Tesla reflect narrower AI exposure or sector headwinds. With resolution less than six weeks away, limited catalysts beyond earnings and macro data are expected to shift the tight race among top tech names.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,903
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA holds a leading 67.5% market-implied probability of remaining the largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026, driven by its dominant position in AI accelerators and sustained demand for its GPUs amid rapid large language model development. Recent quarterly results and ongoing hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure have reinforced trader consensus around NVIDIA's valuation edge, currently exceeding $4.7 trillion compared to Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft. Alphabet and Apple sit near 42-48% odds on potential near-term gains in cloud and consumer segments, while lower probabilities for Amazon, Broadcom, and Tesla reflect narrower AI exposure or sector headwinds. With resolution less than six weeks away, limited catalysts beyond earnings and macro data are expected to shift the tight race among top tech names.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,903
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 74%, followed by "Apple" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of August?" has generated $39.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of August?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of August?" is "NVIDIA" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.