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Geopolítica·Liderazgo Laboral Del Reino Unido

¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)

icon for ¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)
Geopolítica·Liderazgo Laboral Del Reino Unido

¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)

dic 31

dic 31

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel 44%

Ninguno antes de 2027 34%

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil 6.1%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 6.0%

Polymarket

$84,148 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel 44%

Ninguno antes de 2027 34%

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil 6.1%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 6.0%

Polymarket

$84,148 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel

$6,446 Vol.

38%

Ninguno antes de 2027

$33,859 Vol.

34%

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil

$2,871 Vol.

6%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba

$1,627 Vol.

6%

Zelenskyy - Presidente de Ucrania

$2,985 Vol.

4%

Macron - Presidente de Francia

$1,630 Vol.

3%

Rodríguez - Presidenta interina de Venezuela

$6,378 Vol.

3%

Lecornu - Primer Ministro de Francia

$3,492 Vol.

3%

Milei - Presidente de Argentina

$1,200 Vol.

3%

Trump - Presidente de EE. UU.

$1,821 Vol.

3%

Sánchez - Primer Ministro de España

$1,987 Vol.

3%

Abbas - Presidente de Palestina

$2,270 Vol.

2%

Takaichi - Primera Ministra de Japón

$1,573 Vol.

2%

Putin - Presidente de Rusia

$1,788 Vol.

2%

Newsom - Gobernador de California

$1,274 Vol.

1%

Kim - Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte

$1,691 Vol.

1%

Merz - Canciller alemán

$2,175 Vol.

1%

Sheinbaum - Presidenta de México

$2,068 Vol.

1%

Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía

$2,522 Vol.

1%

Xi - Secretario General del PCCh

$1,461 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Primer Ministro de Australia

$1,368 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Presidente de Siria

$1,661 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The market for the next leader removed from power before 2027 stays tightly bunched because most listed figures hold fixed terms or institutional positions extending well into 2027 or later, with no confirmed early elections, constitutional crises, or health events in the past month that would shift removal odds. Trader consensus around 44-45% for “none” and the top individual names reflects this stability, balanced against low-probability tail risks such as sudden cabinet collapses, legislative no-confidence votes, or external shocks. Recent polling aggregates and official statements show incumbents like Trump, Macron, and Erdoğan maintaining support levels consistent with their full terms, while others face routine coalition negotiations or scheduled votes that have not yet produced decisive momentum. Separation could occur through verified developments including snap parliamentary dissolutions, major corruption rulings, or sudden vacancies within the next six months, which would allow traders to reassess individual probabilities relative to the broad field.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$84,148
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The market for the next leader removed from power before 2027 stays tightly bunched because most listed figures hold fixed terms or institutional positions extending well into 2027 or later, with no confirmed early elections, constitutional crises, or health events in the past month that would shift removal odds. Trader consensus around 44-45% for “none” and the top individual names reflects this stability, balanced against low-probability tail risks such as sudden cabinet collapses, legislative no-confidence votes, or external shocks. Recent polling aggregates and official statements show incumbents like Trump, Macron, and Erdoğan maintaining support levels consistent with their full terms, while others face routine coalition negotiations or scheduled votes that have not yet produced decisive momentum. Separation could occur through verified developments including snap parliamentary dissolutions, major corruption rulings, or sudden vacancies within the next six months, which would allow traders to reassess individual probabilities relative to the broad field.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$84,148
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel" con 38%, seguido de "Ninguno antes de 2027" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" ha generado $84.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" es "Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ninguno antes de 2027" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.