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icon for ¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)
Geopolítica·Liderazgo Laboral Del Reino Unido

¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)

icon for ¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)
Geopolítica·Liderazgo Laboral Del Reino Unido

¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel 39%

Ninguno antes de 2027 36%

Rodríguez - Presidenta interina de Venezuela 4.4%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 3.8%

Polymarket

$264,562 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel 39%

Ninguno antes de 2027 36%

Rodríguez - Presidenta interina de Venezuela 4.4%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 3.8%

Polymarket

$264,562 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel

$28,998 Vol.

39%

Ninguno antes de 2027

$87,788 Vol.

36%

Rodríguez - Presidenta interina de Venezuela

$12,254 Vol.

4%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba

$11,188 Vol.

4%

Zelenskyy - Presidente de Ucrania

$6,649 Vol.

2%

Sánchez - Primer Ministro de España

$7,405 Vol.

2%

Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía

$10,105 Vol.

2%

Macron - Presidente de Francia

$9,989 Vol.

2%

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil

$6,523 Vol.

2%

Trump - Presidente de EE. UU.

$5,243 Vol.

1%

Xi - Secretario General del PCCh

$9,114 Vol.

1%

Putin - Presidente de Rusia

$6,377 Vol.

1%

Merz - Canciller alemán

$5,676 Vol.

1%

Abbas - Presidente de Palestina

$7,327 Vol.

1%

Lecornu - Primer Ministro de Francia

$6,835 Vol.

1%

Takaichi - Primera Ministra de Japón

$5,436 Vol.

1%

Kim - Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte

$4,953 Vol.

<1%

Newsom - Gobernador de California

$4,632 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Primer Ministro de Australia

$6,530 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Presidente de Siria

$7,918 Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Presidenta de México

$6,737 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Presidente de Argentina

$6,885 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads trader pricing at 39 percent amid Israel’s October 27, 2026, parliamentary election, where recent polling shows his Likud-led bloc trailing centrist and opposition challengers and struggling to secure a governing majority. Coalition infighting, voter fatigue from prolonged conflicts, and legal pressures have heightened removal risks before year-end, while the narrow gap with the 35.5 percent “none before 2027” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether any listed leader will exit office. Most other contenders trade below 5 percent because their terms, institutional backing, or electoral calendars lack comparable near-term triggers through 2026. Upcoming vote results and coalition negotiations remain the clearest catalysts that could widen separation between the top two outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$264,562
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads trader pricing at 39 percent amid Israel’s October 27, 2026, parliamentary election, where recent polling shows his Likud-led bloc trailing centrist and opposition challengers and struggling to secure a governing majority. Coalition infighting, voter fatigue from prolonged conflicts, and legal pressures have heightened removal risks before year-end, while the narrow gap with the 35.5 percent “none before 2027” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether any listed leader will exit office. Most other contenders trade below 5 percent because their terms, institutional backing, or electoral calendars lack comparable near-term triggers through 2026. Upcoming vote results and coalition negotiations remain the clearest catalysts that could widen separation between the top two outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$264,562
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel" con 39%, seguido de "Ninguno antes de 2027" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" ha generado $264.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" es "Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ninguno antes de 2027" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027? (Sin Starmer o Petro)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.