Recent tracking of Elon Musk’s X activity shows daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 25–50 posts (including replies and quotes), with shorter windows like late August posting closer to the lower end of that spectrum. This pattern, combined with the Labor Day weekend timing and no major breaking developments expected immediately after his virtual G20 tech appearance on September 1, drives the market’s strongest consensus around the 40-64 range. Traders appear to weigh historical averages against weekend moderation and ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, while higher buckets like 65-89 reflect scenarios of sustained engagement from product updates or viral threads. The tight clustering of implied probabilities underscores how quickly volume can shift with news flow in the three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 49%
65-89 29%
<40 21%
90-114 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
<40
21%
40-64
49%
65-89
29%
90-114
11%
115-139
3%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
Más de 240
1%
40-64 49%
65-89 29%
<40 21%
90-114 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
<40
$20 Vol.
21%
40-64
$37 Vol.
49%
65-89
$41 Vol.
29%
90-114
$20 Vol.
11%
115-139
$213 Vol.
3%
140-164
$13 Vol.
3%
165-189
$13 Vol.
1%
190-214
$13 Vol.
1%
215-239
$13 Vol.
1%
Más de 240
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tracking of Elon Musk’s X activity shows daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 25–50 posts (including replies and quotes), with shorter windows like late August posting closer to the lower end of that spectrum. This pattern, combined with the Labor Day weekend timing and no major breaking developments expected immediately after his virtual G20 tech appearance on September 1, drives the market’s strongest consensus around the 40-64 range. Traders appear to weigh historical averages against weekend moderation and ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, while higher buckets like 65-89 reflect scenarios of sustained engagement from product updates or viral threads. The tight clustering of implied probabilities underscores how quickly volume can shift with news flow in the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$675Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tracking of Elon Musk’s X activity shows daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 25–50 posts (including replies and quotes), with shorter windows like late August posting closer to the lower end of that spectrum. This pattern, combined with the Labor Day weekend timing and no major breaking developments expected immediately after his virtual G20 tech appearance on September 1, drives the market’s strongest consensus around the 40-64 range. Traders appear to weigh historical averages against weekend moderation and ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, while higher buckets like 65-89 reflect scenarios of sustained engagement from product updates or viral threads. The tight clustering of implied probabilities underscores how quickly volume can shift with news flow in the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$675Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking of Elon Musk’s X activity shows daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 25–50 posts (including replies and quotes), with shorter windows like late August posting closer to the lower end of that spectrum. This pattern, combined with the Labor Day weekend timing and no major breaking developments expected immediately after his virtual G20 tech appearance on September 1, drives the market’s strongest consensus around the 40-64 range. Traders appear to weigh historical averages against weekend moderation and ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary, while higher buckets like 65-89 reflect scenarios of sustained engagement from product updates or viral threads. The tight clustering of implied probabilities underscores how quickly volume can shift with news flow in the three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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